Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.874009 10.200554 11.616685 13.236388 15.032953 16.959913 19.178215
2025-02-16 6.417630 8.124579 10.085223 12.485418 15.325009 18.557542 22.494703
2025-02-23 4.723750 6.566207 8.834911 11.791323 15.495889 19.936360 25.608588
2025-03-02 3.613789 5.495921 7.970673 11.385478 15.889126 21.534744 29.044185
2025-03-09 2.895041 4.792247 7.443008 11.293960 16.606196 23.526641 33.051129
2025-03-16 2.308888 4.157323 6.897429 11.077693 17.089791 25.201210 36.711099
2025-03-23 2.038050 3.941637 6.906651 11.614381 18.615024 28.324364 42.432445
2025-03-30 1.724532 3.594768 6.660363 11.728145 19.518052 30.617384 47.119079
2025-04-06 1.369473 3.103777 6.110329 11.300442 19.561885 31.667416 50.093328
2025-04-13 1.072393 2.652615 5.554047 10.784837 19.401958 32.376035 52.573702
2025-04-20 0.964936 2.548128 5.580403 11.220704 20.741510 35.351195 58.452997
2025-04-27 0.926831 2.579559 5.852814 12.091894 22.823291 39.531733 66.267346
2025-05-04 0.845605 2.507394 5.932363 12.650298 24.460014 43.157234 73.483043
2025-05-11 0.719062 2.303750 5.730085 12.682145 25.218309 45.452580 78.784930
2025-05-18 0.585504 2.048343 5.384801 12.409907 25.429937 46.882244 82.805916
2025-05-25 0.482297 1.841631 5.107810 12.232758 25.783268 48.541800 87.235108
2025-06-01 0.411183 1.702442 4.955120 12.277760 26.523648 50.852255 92.759694
2025-06-08 0.339625 1.538901 4.719855 12.127262 26.888264 52.541147 97.335965
2025-06-15 0.318777 1.530869 4.852599 12.752640 28.730224 56.796065 106.212368
2025-06-22 0.277259 1.440015 4.767695 12.903309 29.676277 59.547898 112.705216
2025-06-29 0.217726 1.260743 4.426681 12.456980 29.436693 60.225023 115.773285
2025-07-06 0.166006 1.085421 4.060462 11.907806 28.946255 60.422673 118.023361
2025-07-13 0.153366 1.069732 4.135225 12.384801 30.538397 64.390383 126.778307